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Introduction to Probabilistic Knowledge Graphs: AI-Driven Inference and Real-World Applications

Introduction to Probabilistic Knowledge Graphs: AI-Driven Inference and Real-World Applications

5hBeginner2026-01-14

Authors

Vaibhava Lakshmi Ravideshik

Vaibhava Lakshmi Ravideshik

Course details

Probabilistic knowledge graphs (PKGs) are transforming the way data is structured and analyzed in AI and machine learning. In this course, AI engineer and author Vaibhava Lakshmi Ravideshik introduces the fundamentals of knowledge graphs and shows how probability theory helps manage uncertainty in data. Through hands-on examples, learn how to construct PKGs, integrate probabilistic reasoning, and apply inference techniques like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Explore real-world applications in decision-making, risk assessment, and predictive modeling, and gain insights into scaling challenges and emerging trends shaping the future of PKGs.

Learning objectives
Explain the fundamentals of knowledge graphs, including their structure, components, and real-world applications.
Apply probability theory concepts, including random variables and Bayesian networks, to handle uncertainty in data.
Construct and analyze PKGs by integrating uncertainty into traditional knowledge graphs.
Use probabilistic inference techniques, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), to make predictions and decisions in PKGs.
Identify challenges and future trends in the field of PKGs, such as scalability, data quality, and AI advancements.

Concepts

Introduction

  • Diving into the world of probabilistic knowledge graphs

What Are Knowledge Graphs

  • What are knowledge graphs (KGs)
  • Core components of a knowledge graph
  • Why knowledge graphs for AI
  • Real-world KG I - Google's knowledge graph
  • Real-world KG II - DBpedia
  • Simple KG implementation, part I
  • Simple KG implementation, part 2
  • LLM-based KG implementation, part 1
  • LLM-based KG implementation, part 2
  • Summary - Basics of knowledge graphs

Overview of Probability Concepts

  • Foundations of probability theory
  • Random variables and distributions
  • Expectation and variance
  • Conditional probability and Bayes' Theorem
  • Bayesian networks
  • Directed edges and influence flow
  • Probabilistic modeling basics for PKGs
  • The urge for MCMC
  • MCMC and intuition
  • The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
  • From sampling to confidence
  • Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC)
  • No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS)
  • Basics of Pyro programming, part 1
  • Basics of Pyro programming, part 2
  • A wrap-up on probabilistic concepts for knowledge graphs

Introducing Uncertainty in Knowledge Graphs

  • Uncertainty - The reason we build PKGs
  • Sources of uncertainty
  • Example - Uncertainty in a medical KG
  • Risks of ignoring uncertainty
  • Confidence and provenance
  • Building probabilistic KGs, part 1
  • Building probabilistic KGs, part 2
  • A wrap-up on uncertainty

Data Sources and Collection Methods

  • Graph schema design
  • Example ontology template
  • Structured data for PKGs
  • Typical structured sources
  • Limitations of structured data
  • Real-world example - Structured data
  • Unstructured data for PKGs
  • Limitations of unstructured data
  • Example - Biomedical literature mining
  • Wrapping up data types for PKGs

Inferencing with PKGs

  • Preview of KGEs
  • Bayesian PKG using KG embeddings
  • What is inference in a PKG
  • Inference approaches in PKGs
  • PSL
  • Markov logic networks
  • Probabilistic graphical models
  • Path-based probabilistic reasoning
  • Bayesian inference using Pyro, part 1
  • Bayesian inference using Pyro, part 2
  • Bayesian inference using Pyro, part 3

PKGs in Modern AI Systems

  • PKGs as a technical and philosophical approach
  • Bayesian GNNs, part 1
  • Bayesian GNNs, part 2
  • Neurosymbolic systems, part 1
  • Neurosymbolic systems, part 2
  • Autonomous agents
  • Justified beliefs rather than absolute answers

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