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Anticipating the Future as a Leader

Anticipating the Future as a Leader

59mIntermediate2022-09-09

Authors

Becki Saltzman

Becki Saltzman

Author, Speaker, Founder of the Applied Curiosity Lab

Course details

Anticipating and navigating the future is a critical, learnable leadership skill that requires particular ways of thinking, gathering information, and updating beliefs. In this course, Becki Saltzman takes a unique approach of combining the art and science of forecasting with the psychology of managing uncertainty. Becki shows you key skills, including how to: decide who and what to pay attention to; make forecasts backed by math; balance outside and inside views; avoid key misleading biases and fallacies; use critical thinking to manage uncertainty within nervous teams. Forecasting how the future will unfold is the basis for every decision made in business and in life. Join Becki in this course to learn new ways to anticipate, navigate, and plan.

Skills covered

Leadership SkillsLeadership and ManagementOne-Off

Concepts

0. Introduction

  • 01 - What it means to anticipate the future

1. Revealing Possible Futures

  • 02 - Common ways people misread the future
  • 03 - Deciding who to pay attention to
  • 04 - Deciding what to pay attention to
  • 05 - Using second-order thinking

2. Forecasting Backed by Math

  • 06 - Discerning patterns
  • 07 - Misconceptions about chance
  • 08 - Using probabilistic thinking
  • 09 - Finding base rates
  • 10 - Balancing inside and outside views
  • 11 - Calibrating confidence
  • 12 - Skillfully updating your predictions

3. Helping Teams Navigate the Future

  • 13 - Leading with clarity
  • 14 - Turning your team into trend scouts
  • 15 - Communicating your vision of the future

Conclusion

  • 16 - Key takeaways

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